FAQ
The questions skeptical traders ask first.
If a question is not here, email hello@aurum-markets.com. We will publish good answers.
What does Aurum actually deliver?+
Standard tier gets up to 3 intraday signals per day on GC (gold) and SI (silver) futures. Pro gets up to 5 plus research Q&A. Each signal carries symbol, side, entry, stop, target, R:R, and a one-sentence rationale. See a worked example on the homepage.
Why not promise a win rate?+
Because high win rates are a lie that retail-signal services have been running for years. Aurum trades at R:R 3.0, which means winners are three times the size of losers. The strategy wins about 26 percent of trades in backtest and still profits. Anyone selling you 90 percent is either lying or about to.
How is the backtest different from live?+
The backtest covers May 2022 to May 2025 on real CME data from Databento, 1,015 trades. Profit factor 1.73, max drawdown 17.9R, 12 of 12 positive quarters. Walk-forward validated on four out-of-sample windows with an average profit factor of 1.75. Live performance is published on the stats page and is the only number that matters going forward.
What if there is no qualifying setup?+
You receive nothing that day. Roughly 40 percent of trading days produce zero signals. Quiet is the strategy doing its job, not a system fault. Forcing trades on flat-volatility days is exactly how signal services with good backtests blow up live.
Can I auto-execute Aurum signals?+
Pro tier gets API access and webhook delivery. Whether you connect that to an automated execution layer (IBKR, Tradovate, etc.) is your decision and your risk. We publish signals; we do not place trades.
What is R:R, and why 3.0?+
R:R is the ratio of reward to risk on a single trade. R:R 3.0 means the target is three times the stop distance from entry. The strategy backtests best at R:R 3.0 because winners run on metals breakouts when they work. Lower R:R (2.0, 2.5) trades more often but profits less per trade. Higher R:R (4.0+) is too rare to be useful.
Why only gold and silver?+
The backtest covered four metals (CL, NG, GC, SI). Natural gas was destructive (PF 0.62), crude oil was breakeven (PF 0.99). We dropped them. Gold and silver showed PF 1.55 and 1.40 respectively. The strategy is restricted to the symbols where the edge is real.
When are signals delivered?+
The opening range is the first 15 minutes of the regular session (08:30 to 08:45 ET for COMEX metals). A signal can fire any time after the range completes, through about 13:00 ET. Most signals arrive between 08:45 and 11:00 ET. After 13:30 ET the strategy stays out.
How am I charged?+
Stripe handles billing. Monthly or annual, switchable in your account. Annual is 2 months free. Cancel anytime from the dashboard. We do not store card data, only Stripe customer references.
What if you stop working?+
We publish the live track record on the stats page in real time. If the rolling win rate falls below 35 percent of recent closed signals, the circuit breaker pauses output until we manually reset. If you see the circuit breaker tripped and stats deteriorating, the right move is to cancel.
Is this investment advice?+
No. Aurum signals are educational research output, not personal investment advice. We do not know your account size, risk tolerance, or circumstances. You are responsible for whether and how you trade them. Read the risk disclosure and terms before subscribing.
Where is Aurum based?+
Aurum operates out of Doha, Qatar. See About.